


Assuming that at that point Barack Obama still holds his lead in elected delegates and in votes cast in the Democratic primaries, Clinton will then have to make up her mind whether to quit right away or to hang on until the August presidential nominating convention. Her one hope would be that a clear majority of the remaining uncommitted "superdelegates" comes off the fence onto her side.
Much more probably, these superdelegates, who range from former vice-president Al Gore to party officials barely known inside their own state, will decide that they should vote as ordinary party members have already done in all the primaries. At that moment, it will be all over for Clinton.
Or so all the political experts take for granted. Most probably, they are right. But they've overlooked one alternative possibility. One way does exist for Clinton to continue to run even after losing the Democratic nomination. She could run as an independent.
Not likely, of course. But not impossible.
This thought first occurred to me while watching a clip of Clinton being interviewed on TV the morning after her Pennsylvania victory.
She was, I realized, totally consumed and utterly obsessed by the contest she's now engaged in.
Political contests do of course send an addictive surge of adrenaline through almost all of those engaged in them. But fighting to become president has become Clinton's entire life, her very reason for existing.
A day later I came upon a blog by an American political commentator, Andrew Sullivan, that eloquently expressed my own thoughts.
Clinton can't win the Democratic nomination, he wrote, "But she won't leave. She will never leave."
Sullivan then gave an analysis of why Clinton won't leave, which went far beyond the standard commentary about her toughness, her determination, her take-no-prisoners style of campaigning.
"Ceding to someone younger is unthinkable to her. It would be a form of death to her," he wrote.
That's rough. But Sullivan has spotted something essential about Clinton. There's something quite out of the ordinary about the magnitude of Clinton's ego, about the scale of her sense of entitlement, about her conviction that the presidency is her birthright.
The chances that Clinton would run as an independent really are remote. She'd be turning her back on the party to which she and Bill have given their lives. Raising funds would be all but impossible.
All Clinton could hope to achieve would be to make certain that Obama lost and that Republican John McCain won.
Except that this is exactly what she's – mostly – now done. Her relentless, ruthless, "kitchen sink" attack on her rival has already significantly damaged Obama.
She has made him look too nicey-nice to be president. As damaging, she's made him look less like a new kind of politician. Any time Obama counterattacks, as he does occasionally and reluctantly, he sounds like an old-style politician, like Clinton herself.
Although Obama may figure out a way to be true to himself while dodging the rocks Clinton keeps hurling at him, she has already to a considerable degree achieved what running as an independent could do for her.
She has ensured that "someone younger," in Sullivan's insightful observation, will not become president in her place. The remote chance that she might still win the Democratic nomination has become an excuse for her to continue fighting – against the kind of hopeful young politician she once was.
As a politician, Clinton is decidedly conventional, except for her professionalism, her competence, her resilience, her ruthlessness.
But as a personality, she's the most interesting character in American public life in ages.
TORONTO - CBC-TV's long-running comedy show "Royal Canadian Air Farce" is reaching the end of the road after 15 years on the air.
The producers of "Air Farce" have informed the cast and crew that there will be a truncated, 10-episode farewell season starting in the fall. The final show of the sketch comedy series will air on New Year's Eve.
Don Ferguson, one of the stars of "Air Farce," speculated that the new regime of programming executives at the CBC likely felt the show had passed its prime, but said he was happy to move onto new things.
But he acknowledged others on the show, including Luba Goy, were upset that the show was ending its run.
The show debuted on CBC Radio in December 1973 and boasted more than 600 radio broadcasts over 24 years before making the leap to television in 1993. Its last radio broadcast was in 1997.
In 2007, it returned to a live format with "Air Farce Live."
Hillary Clinton may not realize it yet, but she’s just endured one of the worst weeks of her campaign.
First, Barack Obama weathered the Rev. Jeremiah Wright affair without serious damage to his nomination prospects. Obama still holds a tiny lead among Democrats nationally in the Gallup tracking poll, just as he did before this whole affair blew up.
Second, Obama’s lawyers successfully prevented re-votes in Florida and Michigan. That means it would be virtually impossible for Clinton to take a lead in either elected delegates or total primary votes.
Third, as Noam Scheiber of The New Republic has reported, most superdelegates have accepted Nancy Pelosi’s judgment that the winner of the elected delegates should get the nomination. Instead of lining up behind Clinton, they’re drifting away. Her lead among them has shrunk by about 60 in the past month, according to Avi Zenilman of Politico.com.
In short, Hillary Clinton’s presidential prospects continue to dim. The door is closing. Night is coming. The end, however, is not near.
Last week, an important Clinton adviser told Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen (also of Politico) that Clinton had no more than a 10 percent chance of getting the nomination. Now, she’s probably down to a 5 percent chance.
Five percent......
Read the rest of the article here... New York Times"At the Scandinavium Arena this afternoon, the 25-year-old became Canada’s first male world figure skating champion since Elvis Stojko in 1997..."
Toronto Star article HERE
Jeff's winning free skate performance...